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Hurricanes leave Lightning in their wake
by Mark Rothstein




Hurricanes


Back in the 2003/04 season (the last before the lockout), the Tampa Bay Lightning were the only team in the Southeast Division to make it to the playoffs. The Atlanta Thrashers finished 13 points back of eighth place in the Eastern Conference that year, while the Carolina Hurricanes ended up 15 points back of the last postseason berth.

Could history repeat itself this season? The Hurricanes have a huge lead atop the Southeast Division, and are battling the Ottawa Senators for the top overall spot in the Eastern Conference. Meanwhile, second-place Tampa Bay is fighting for their playoff lives, while third-place Atlanta are currently below the postseason cutoff line.

It’s not out of the question that both Tampa Bay and Atlanta could miss the playoffs this season. For both of those teams to be eliminated, however, either the New York Islanders or the Toronto Maple Leafs would need to force their way into the postseason picture, and the Montreal Canadiens would need to continue steadily picking up points.

The Lightning didn’t only make the playoffs during the last National Hockey League season, they finished in first place in the entire conference and were eventually crowned Stanley Cup champions. Most preseason predictions had Tampa Bay being a strong contender again this year, and at the least an easy winner of the Southeast Division.

That division title obviously won’t happen this year; the Hurricanes should be able to wrap up the Southeast by the end of March. A run-of-the-mill playoff spot should still be in the cards for the Bolts, but they’re doing their best to ruin their chances there as well. Tampa Bay won only twice in their first seven games during the month of March, and both of those victories were by slim, one-goal margins.

Could Atlanta be the team that causes Tampa Bay’s season to wrap up early? The Thrashers, of course, have never advanced to the postseason in franchise history, but after winning five of their first seven games in the month of March they’re within shouting distance of the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.

Of course, Tampa Bay or Atlanta could slip into the postseason only to find themselves matched up with the Hurricanes in the first round. Led by an incredible performance from Eric Staal, the Canes have showed no signs of slowing down, and have picked up points in seven of their first eight games in March. And that’s with limited contributions from Doug Weight, who is just now starting to find his place in Carolina’s offense.

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How have the Hurricanes turned it around this year? In 2003/04, their top scorer was Josef Vasicek, who picked up 45 points in 82 games, and no Canes skater potted 20 goals in that final season before the lockout. This year, six Carolina players have already passed the 45-point mark, and five players have at least 22 goals. Yes, scoring is up around the league, but that’s still a significant year-to-year increase in production.

Also factoring into the Canes’ resurgence has been their play in the friendly confines of the RBC Center. In 2003/04, Carolina finished 13-18-8-2 on their own ice, a killer stat that destroyed their playoff chances. This year, the Canes are 27-5-1 at home, which is tops in the conference. And that could make Carolina a deadly draw in the postseason, especially if they hold off the Senators and earn the Eastern Conference’s No. 1 seed.

The Canes made it to the Stanley Cup finals in 2002, and followed that result with two straight seasons out of the playoffs; hockey fans down in Carolina have therefore been waiting awhile for a return to contender status. The Lightning took home the Cup in 2004; hockey fans down in Tampa Bay are hopeful that winning result won’t be followed by a crash and burn in this followup season.

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