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Well,
actually, the question is, where's
the Value. As many of you know, I
am having a super season this NHL
and most of the reason I have one
so well is there has been some great
value plays available through-out
the season. Now the playoffs have
run through the first couple rounds
and the value plays are further and
fewer between, I am wondering if the
sportsbooks want any action at all.
The lines have been nothing short
of silly at times, and very harsh
the rest of the time, but there has
been some values. Little golden nuggets
to be had here and there.
The trick,
or rather art, is to have some patients.
There have been a few games I have
simply skipped, just because I know
who is probably going win , does not
mean I will lay 170 to win 100. It
is called gambling for a reason, and
that is, they might lose. A bad bounce,
a lucky shot, who knows, who cares,
the point is...
Now, about
those golden little nuggets. We are,
as I said, about done the second round.
The Oilers play tonight, and I have
both the side and total played on
this game. Buffalo and Carolina open
up their series on Saturday and I
am already all over that game.
There is
not a whole bunch more hockey left,
I have topped 6300 on the season and
might even hit 7000 if I get the job
done right over the next couple weeks.
The lines may be a bit brutal at times,
but there is still some money to be
made and I intend to grab what I can
from the books over this period. Study
the Games first, find your winner,
then take at look at al the options
to find the value, and if there is
no value, walk away, take a nap, or
whatever.
There are
3 things you need to make money in
this game. First, the winning play,
that's pretty self evident. Next if
finding the right line... this is
as almost important as having the
winner, and lastly the money management
part of sports betting, which includes
finding the value play. I hear from
my clients on a variety of issues,
and the last one seems to be the one
that f%*ks with peoples heads. I have
had a couple talk about a line being
simply silly, has little value and
I am passing on the game. They are
free to bet the -245 favorite, but
certainly don't need my expertise
on who is likely to win that game,
so I don't post it, and I don't play
it. I don't need to win every play
I post, and I don't need to win every
day, but I do win overall and that
is the name of the game...
Another
thing I do is take my winnings out
of my sportsbook accounts and buy
something nice for my wife, or pay
off a credit card, or something. I
don't really see it as profit until
I actually have it in my hands. Money
in my betting account is my bankroll,
and is used solely for making wagers,
so it's not profit until I take it
out and use it. Left in, it is simply
an increased bankroll, allowing me
to make more bets over a longer period
of time... remember, I advocate a
flat betting system of 1% of your
bankroll on all plays, and I even
set a max amount of 1000 per game.
If 1% of my bankroll is greater than
$1000.00, I ignore it so that instead
of having a possible 100 bets, I may
have a possible 150 bets, or I take
the extra out. Then I have actual
profit on my sports investment!
That's
that for that, and I'll see ya around.
Don't forget to check out all my winning
plays in not only the NHL but the
NBA, which I have also done very well
with this year. Still money to be
made in both sports yet!
George Smeader is a documented member
of The Professional Handicappers League.
Read more of his articles and get
his premium plays here.
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