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By:
George
Smeader
Hockey Betting
101 - While George leans towards the Statistical
side of Sports Handicapping, he also applys
his behind the scenes access to the mix and
analyze not only the stats, but the news items,
articles and information he edits and publishes
weekly, and he looks for advantages and situations
that will give him, and you, the edge!
You can get his premium plays here >>

THE
GOOD THE BAD AND THE UGLY - nhl hockey handicapping
by: GEORGE SMEADER
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HOCKEY BETTING 101
There
are a few ways to place a bet on a
hockey game. By far the most common
way to wager on hockey is the moneyline.
Another is to bet on the total and
the third is on the puck line. All
three are valid and no one way is
better than the other. The real trick
or rather art it to find the best
value on the boards.
The thing
about hockey is that it can go the
other way real quick. A funny bounce
a deflection off a defenseman and
we can be looking at a whole new game.
The Goaltender is such a big piece
of the puzzle you can liken him to
a quarterback. If he is off his game
or gets injured and taken out the
teams ability to win the game drastically
reduced and in some cases eliminated
altogether.
Lets examine
the moneyline. NEVER ok well almost
never play on favorites over -140
certainly think more than once on
laying your money down on a -160 favorite
and if a Handicapper tells you to
play the -180 or better favorite I
would take a solid second look at
this handicapper and his claims methods
and details of his records. At -200
simple chuckle to yourself and walk
away.
Lets get
serious. My dog could pick a -200
or better winner but whats worse is
that this not what sports investing
and handicapping is all about. There
is no value in this play and the risk
is simply not justified and as I said
you dont need me or any other handicapper
to tell you to play such a heavy favorite.
No our job is to find the -105 to
-125 favorites that should be -125
to -175 favorites and jump all over
those games or better yet find the
dogs that should be favorites. Now
THAT my friends is what professional
handicapping is all about.
For the
new and initiate When you bet on the
moneyline you are betting on the result
of a game who will win. there is no
pointspread so in a Tampa Bay - Atlanta
game where the moneyline on Tampa
is -125 and you want to bet on Tampa
the favorite in this meeting they
you must wager 125$ to win 100. Atlanta
being the underdog would have a positive
moneyline and in this case most likely
would be +115. To bet on Atlanta for
every 100$ you bet you win 115. The
reason for the difference between
the favorite and the dog as in why
its not -125 and +125 is the subject
of many other articles but it is basically
the cut the sportsbook makes as their
profit on the action this game may
generate. ANyway. if the finak score
is Tampa 3 - Atlanta 2 then all those
who bet on Tampa would win their bets
and those who bet on atlanta should
have asked me and I would have put
them on Tampa -
The next
method is the total. It is the same
as betting on totals in any sport.
the average total for most games is
5.5 to 6.5. occassionally you see
a 5 or a 7 but not often. BTW I play
the UNDER on a total of 7 nine times
out of ten. That is a really big number
in hockey. The value in this is a
bit harder to find or I should say
not as obvious. The bet is usually
around -110 or so. occassionally you
see a total with a +105 for the betting
action so no big surprises there and
it is a solid and safe way to bet
on hockey. It may be just me but I
also find it a tad bit harder to like
the totals. Hockey or at least to
a person born and raised on hockey
is a 3-2 or 4-3 game. See how nicely
6 fits inth the middle of that! Now
dont get me wrong I do play totals
just not as often and there certainly
can be some good values and little
gems in totals so we study them as
vigerously as the moneylines.
Now we get
to the puck line. This is represented
as 1.5 and -1.5 . What you are doing
is getting a goal and a half or giving
up a goal and a half. Its sorta kinda
like a pont spread. This is the make
or break point. This is what seperates
the Professionals from the Amatures.
This is not to be taken lightly and
is the bet i play the least. As with
moneylines you do not need anybody
to tell you to take a team on the
puckline at for example at 1.5 / -240.
Basically they are taking a slight
dog a game where the books fully expect
the score to be 3-2 and the moneyline
on that same team would be around
+110 and the favorite would be at
-120. This is such a HUGE risk and
the gain is so slight why the hell
bother? Bet $240 to win $100? If your
a $100 bettor what would you make.
41 bucks? Christ go mow a couple lawns
in the neighbourhood you could make
the same 41 bucks in about the time
it takes the game to be played and
you would get some exercise. What
you are looking for is a 1.5 / + 150
. When a bigger dog is played on a
pk line there can be some value to
be found and it lightens the load.
If you have the inside track and see
something the books missed and there
is a 1.5 / 135 for example especially
on a team who you think should either
be a slight dog and perhaps even the
favorite the BINGO we not only have
a good value but man i sleep better
at night with the extra insurance
the +1.5 gives me. This is not sports
gambling it is sports betting. When
I wanna gamble you will find me at
the Del Rey or the Colonial sitting
at the Roulette Table. Now do not
get me wrong there are times a pk
line + or - 1.5 can be played at -115
or +300 but you have to take a closer
look at these and make sure you know
this to be the best value that game
represents otherwise why are you on
it?

As a Professional
Sports Handicapper I am responsible
to the people who buy my plays and
my subscription. It is not my job
to pick easy winners. They can do
that for themselves. It is my job
to make them money by finding true
value plays not expect them to risk
it all to make up some ground and
to offer a solid ROI. This is a business
and should not be treated and a part
time gig played with a dart board
or a one that requires you to state
the obvious and pick the -350 favorite.
When you are looking at purchasing
the services of any handicapper in
any sport. Do your research. Check
not only ther records but what sort
of game and types of bets these records
represent. Is he a guy who plays all
dogs is he an action junkie does he
play only the heavy favorites? Is
this his full time job or is he guy
who likes sports has a full time job
during the day and has decided to
make some money as a hobbie.
I am a member
of the Professional Handicappers League
and all my records are open to scrutiny.
I am also the Leagues top NHL Handicapper
and not by just a small margin but
by more than double the units of the
next nearest handicapper. If you have
any questions about me or any handicapper
feel free to email service@procappers.com
or call 1.702.851.0958 I am also offering
my NHL rest of Season and Playoffs
Subscription for just 175. My daily
packages are $35. This subscription
represents a HUGE savings and the
best value anywhere!
I
would say good luck but I am not a
leprochaun and luck is not my business.
My business is winning and business
is good!
George Smeader is a documented member
of The Professional Handicappers League.
Read more of his articles and get
his premium plays here.
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By:
George
Smeader
Hockey Betting
101 - While George leans towards the Statistical
side of Sports Handicapping, he also applys
his behind the scenes access to the mix and
analyze not only the stats, but the news items,
articles and information he edits and publishes
weekly, and he looks for advantages and situations
that will give him, and you, the edge!
You can get his premium plays here >>
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