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2006 NHL Awards Predictions


NHL Handicapping - Hockey Picks - NHL Sportsbooks - Hockey Betting Previews - NHL Hockey Bet


Who will win NHL hardware?
By Matthew Ross




Jagr


Will Jaromir Jagr be adding some more trophies to his mantle at the end of the 2005/06 National Hockey League season? Jagr has won the Art Ross Trophy five times in his career, and was once awarded the Hart Trophy as the league’s most valuable player.

With the Czech winger leading the New York Rangers to unexpected heights, he’ll get quite a bit of consideration from the Hart voters again this year when it’s time to cast their ballots. Let’s take a look at the contenders for all of the major trophies this season:

Hart Trophy - Most Valuable Player

With Jagr leading the NHL scoring race, and the Rangers riding high in the Eastern Conference standings, the 1999 Hart Trophy recipient is probably the top candidate for that award this season. However, Eric Staal isn’t far behind Jagr in points, and he’s by far the top scorer on a Carolina Hurricanes team that has one of the best records in the league. Joe Thornton has shifted seamlessly to San Jose, but if the Sharks miss the playoffs Big Joe isn’t likely to snag a nomination. Alexander Ovechkin is pretty much the Washington Capitals, but the Caps would be bad with or without their rookie star. Daniel Alfredsson would be Ottawa’s top candidate, but his strong supporting cast hurts his chances for this trophy; same deal with Mike Modano in Dallas. The dark horse candidate could be Calgary goalie Miikka Kiprusoff. The Flames’ pop-gun offense should have them in the lower portion of the Western Conference standings; instead, thanks in large part to the strong play of Kiprusoff, the Flames are a Western contender.

Top three candidates for the Hart Trophy today: Jagr, Staal, Kiprusoff

Norris Trophy - Top Defenseman

Only six active players have won the Norris Trophy: Chris Chelios, Brian Leetch, Rob Blake, Chris Pronger, Nicklas Lidstrom, and Scott Niedermayer. Of those six, Lidstrom has the best shot at winning this year, as he leads all defensemen in scoring, has a solid plus/minus, rarely takes penalties, and contributes on the power play. The Stars’ Sergei Zubov and the Kings’ Lubomir Visnovsky could be contenders as well, with numbers that nearly mirror those of Lidstrom. Bryan McCabe shot out to a fast start with flashy numbers for the Leafs, but defensive deficiencies will likely hold him back here. Niedermayer is always a contender, but Blake and Pronger look like they’re now a step back. Wade Redden and Zdeno Chara have a vote-splitting issue in Ottawa, although Redden has one of the league’s top plus/minus ratings. Rookie Dion Phaneuf will be a Norris candidate for many years to come, but it’s not likely to happen in his first season.

Top three candidates for the Norris Trophy today: Lidstrom, Zubov, Redden

Calder Trophy - Rookie of the Year

The preseason hype had Alexander Ovechkin battling Sidney Crosby for this trophy, and those two forwards have both had Calder-caliber seasons. However, Ovechkin is ahead of Crosby in points, will likely cruise past the 50-goal mark, and hasn’t been subjected to all the ‘crybaby’ accusations. That gives him the edge for this award right now. Predicting the third finalist for the Calder this year is a more difficult task. Henrik Lundqvist grabbed the Rangers’ starting goaltender job early in the season and has put up a stellar goals-against average and save percentage. That could be enough to have him included in the final three. However, Sabres goaltender Ryan Miller has been solid for his contending team as well. In fact, so many first-year netminders have been contributing positively to their respective teams this season that voters could quite possibly look past Lundqvist and name Phaneuf as the third Calder Trophy candidate instead. The Flames rookie leads all NHL defenseman in power play goals this season, and in just a short time has established himself as a rock on the Calgary blue line.

Top three candidates for the Calder Trophy today: Ovechkin, Crosby, Phaneuf

Vezina Trophy - Top Goaltender

Martin Brodeur won this trophy the last two times it was awarded, but he isn’t likely to be even a nominee this time around. Kiprusoff has to be the frontrunner right now, as he sits among the goalie leaders in all the major statistical categories. Lundqvist could get shut out as a Calder nominee but find himself on the Vezina ballot. Tomas Vokoun has one of the league’s top save percentages, and is backstopping a strong Nashville team to a high finish in the Western Conference. Central Division rival Manny Legace also has great numbers for Detroit, as does the Wild’s Manny Fernandez. Roberto Luongo and Marty Turco don’t look like they have the stats to compete this season, even with Turco’s high win total. Six-time Vezina winner Dominik Hasek has some of the best goalie numbers in the league, but an Olympic injury has hurt his chances; he needs to come back pretty soon to garner consideration as a finalist and edge out Lundqvist et al.

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Top three candidates for the Vezina Trophy today: Kiprusoff, Vokoun, Hasek

Jack Adams Trophy - Coach of the Year

Dramatic, one-year improvements by your team are a great way to snag a nomination for the Adams Trophy, making it possible that all three finalists will come out of the Eastern Conference this season. The Hurricanes’ Peter Laviolette, the Sabres’ Lindy Ruff, and the Rangers’ Tom Renney all have their respective teams playing well above their 2003/04 season levels, and those three could all end up with home-ice advantage in the first round of the playoffs. However, Laviolette and Renney have each had huge scoring seasons from their star forwards to help their cause; Ruff’s top scorers, Maxim Afinogenov and Ales Kotalik, aren’t even on a point-per-game pace, and Buffalo has had problems with injuries. If the Sabres avoid fading over the final month, Ruff could be the frontrunner for the Adams. Laviolette should be a lock as a finalist as well, but Renney could get bumped if voters feel the need to add a Western Conference coach to the mix, like Detroit’s Dave Babcock, Dallas’ Dave Tippett, or Nashville’s Barry Trotz.
Top three candidates for the Adams Trophy today: Ruff, Laviolette, Babcock

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