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By:
Ben
Burns
Many
handicappers make claims of being the best.
Ben Burns, of Ben Burns Consulting INC, lets
his Documented Records do the talking for him!
Ben continues to
be extremely successful at handicapping all
of the major sports. Football, however, is what
he is most famous for. Ben finished 2004/2005
with the #1 record in NCAA Football, as documented
by the Bigguy Sports Monitor. His final numbers
came in at a rock-solid 67-45-1 (60%).
You can get his premium plays here >>
Rule
Changes Affect NHL Totals! by Ben Burns
by: Ben Burns
Entering Tuesday's
NHL action, there have been 48 games
played in the new-look NHL. I've been
paying particularly close attention
as to how the rule changes, and the
new standard of enforcing them, have
influenced scoring.
It appears that the new rules are working.
Through the first week, there has been
a significant increase in the number
of goals scored. Let's take a closer
look.
Scoring is up
Teams are taking more shots and scoring
more goals. Through 48 games there have
been 307 goals scored. That's an average
of 6.4 goals per game. To put that in
perspective, through the first week
of the 2003 season, teams were averaging
only 4 1/2 goals per game. The goal
scoring increase has been reflected
in both 'power-play' and 'even-strength'
situations. Naturally, more goals have
led to more comebacks. In the 'Old NHL'
a lead of two goals was pretty 'safe'.
Not anymore! Through 48 games we have
already seen six teams overcome two-goal
deficits. By comparison, only one team
managed that feat during the opening
week of the previous season.
Over/Under betting
During the first two nights of the season
oddsmakers were reluctant to post any
'totals' of greater than six. All 18
games had totals of six or less. The
teams averaged 6.33 goals per game during
those two nights and the 'Over' went
a tidy 10-6-1. Oddsmakers wasted little
time in making an adjustment! By Friday,
the third night of play, we saw our
first 'total' of 6 1/2 and our last
'total' of 5 ½. . The following day
we saw our first 'total' of seven. The
higher 'Over/Under' lines brought immediate
value to the 'Under'. From Friday through
Monday, 19 of 30 games fell 'Under'
the number. The 'under' is a slightly
profitable 25-21-1 heading into Tuesday's
action. The Florida Panthers have helped
that mark, as they have seen all four
of their games finish below the posted
number. In fact, the Panthers allowed
only two goals during those four games!
Needless to say, Goalie Roberto Luongo,
with two of the league's only three
shutouts, has been extremely sharp.
An early opinion
I've been a huge hockey fan for more
than 25 years. Therefore, I would have
been happy to have hockey back in any
way, shape or form. However, my early
feeling is that I like the new product
on the ice. In recent seasons, I had
found myself choosing to watch more
basketball and less hockey.
The regular season games often simply
weren't that exciting for me. As I mentioned
above, teams rarely recovered from two-goal
deficits, prior to the lockout. What
was the point of watching a team like
the Devils after they were already up
by a pair of goals? Now, it appears
that no lead is safe.
Just ask the Los Angeles Kings, who
blew a 4-0 lead on opening night. I've
also always despised ties. As a result,
although I know most "purists" will
disagree with me, I actually don't mind
the shootouts either!
I'll continue to analyze the NHL closely
and will check back in with occasional
updates throughout the season.
Ben Burns is a documented member of
The Professional Handicappers League.
Read more of his articles and get
his premium plays here.
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By:
Ben
Burns
Many
handicappers make claims of being the best.
Ben Burns, of Ben Burns Consulting INC, lets
his Documented Records do the talking for him!
Ben continues to
be extremely successful at handicapping all
of the major sports. Football, however, is what
he is most famous for. Ben finished 2004/2005
with the #1 record in NCAA Football, as documented
by the Bigguy Sports Monitor. His final numbers
came in at a rock-solid 67-45-1 (60%).
You can get his premium plays here >>
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